Evolving Skies VMAX Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)
5.56% of Evolving Skies booster packs contain a VMAX card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Evolving Skies ships 15 VMAX cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific VMAX is 0.0037 (≈1 in 270). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Evolving Skies VMAX pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 15 VMAX cards = 1 in 270. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
VMAX cards in Evolving Skies
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umbreon VMAX #95 | $27.82 | 1 in 270 |
| 2 | Sylveon VMAX #75 | $19.96 | 1 in 270 |
| 3 | Espeon VMAX #65 | $14.98 | 1 in 270 |
| 4 | Rayquaza VMAX #111 | $14.57 | 1 in 270 |
| 5 | Flareon VMAX #18 | $12.15 | 1 in 270 |
| 6 | Vaporeon VMAX #30 | $11.19 | 1 in 270 |
| 7 | Jolteon VMAX #51 | $11.01 | 1 in 270 |
| 8 | Gyarados VMAX #29 | $10.62 | 1 in 270 |
| 9 | Leafeon VMAX #8 | $8.19 | 1 in 270 |
| 10 | Glaceon VMAX #41 | $7.33 | 1 in 270 |
| 11 | Garbodor VMAX #101 | $2.33 | 1 in 270 |
| 12 | Lycanroc VMAX #92 | $1.77 | 1 in 270 |
| 13 | Dracozolt VMAX #59 | $1.62 | 1 in 270 |
| 14 | Trevenant VMAX #14 | $1.61 | 1 in 270 |
| 15 | Duraludon VMAX #123 | $1.26 | 1 in 270 |
How the 5.56% rate is computed
Every Evolving Skies booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, VMAX, and the era's other chase rarities. The VMAX tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the VMAX tier, all 15 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 15 = 0.0037 = 1 in 270.
This is the same math PackRip's live Evolving Skies simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit VMAX
VMAX pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first VMAX hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit VMAX with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 VMAX pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Evolving Skies packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Evolving Skies binder completion calculator
- Evolving Skies per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Evolving Skies cards
- Every VMAX card across all 140 booster sets