Evolving Skies Rainbow Rare Pull Rate — 2.80% per pack (1 in 36)
2.80% of Evolving Skies booster packs contain a Rainbow Rare card — roughly 1 in 36 packs. Evolving Skies ships 22 Rainbow Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Rainbow Rare is 0.0013 (≈1 in 786). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Evolving Skies Rainbow Rare pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 2.80% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 22 Rainbow Rare cards = 1 in 786. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Rainbow Rare cards in Evolving Skies
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umbreon VMAX #215 | $2292.50 | 1 in 786 |
| 2 | Rayquaza VMAX #218 | $1256.64 | 1 in 786 |
| 3 | Leafeon VMAX #205 | $399.49 | 1 in 786 |
| 4 | Sylveon VMAX #212 | $384.06 | 1 in 786 |
| 5 | Glaceon VMAX #209 | $312.61 | 1 in 786 |
| 6 | Rayquaza VMAX #217 | $105.70 | 1 in 786 |
| 7 | Umbreon VMAX #214 | $83.11 | 1 in 786 |
| 8 | Sylveon VMAX #211 | $58.38 | 1 in 786 |
| 9 | Gyarados VMAX #207 | $47.65 | 1 in 786 |
| 10 | Leafeon VMAX #204 | $42.94 | 1 in 786 |
| 11 | Glaceon VMAX #208 | $36.13 | 1 in 786 |
| 12 | Duraludon VMAX #220 | $15.27 | 1 in 786 |
| 13 | Lycanroc VMAX #213 | $10.38 | 1 in 786 |
| 14 | Garbodor VMAX #216 | $8.44 | 1 in 786 |
| 15 | Dracozolt VMAX #210 | $7.70 | 1 in 786 |
| 16 | Trevenant VMAX #206 | $6.62 | 1 in 786 |
| 17 | Aroma Lady #221 | $6.62 | 1 in 786 |
| 18 | Zinnia's Resolve #225 | $6.62 | 1 in 786 |
| 19 | Duraludon VMAX #219 | $6.57 | 1 in 786 |
| 20 | Raihan #224 | $5.53 | 1 in 786 |
| 21 | Copycat #222 | $5.12 | 1 in 786 |
| 22 | Gordie #223 | $3.53 | 1 in 786 |
How the 2.80% rate is computed
Every Evolving Skies booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Rainbow Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Rainbow Rare tier captures 2.80% of those rare-slot draws (= 2.80 packs out of every 100). Within the Rainbow Rare tier, all 22 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 2.80% ÷ 22 = 0.0013 = 1 in 786.
This is the same math PackRip's live Evolving Skies simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 2.80% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Rainbow Rare
Rainbow Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.028000. The expected number of packs until your first Rainbow Rare hit is 36; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 106 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Rainbow Rare with probability 64.0% — so the average box yields just over 1.0 Rainbow Rare pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Evolving Skies packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Evolving Skies binder completion calculator
- Evolving Skies per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Evolving Skies cards