Shining Fates Full Art Pull Rate — 8.56% per pack (1 in 12)
8.56% of Shining Fates booster packs contain a Full Art card — roughly 1 in 12 packs. Shining Fates ships 9 Full Art cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Full Art is 0.0095 (≈1 in 105). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Shining Fates Full Art pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 8.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 9 Full Art cards = 1 in 105. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Full Art cards in Shining Fates
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyla #72 | $11.79 | 1 in 105 |
| 2 | Poké Kid #70 | $10.42 | 1 in 105 |
| 3 | Alcremie V #64 | $7.34 | 1 in 105 |
| 4 | Ball Guy #65 | $4.28 | 1 in 105 |
| 5 | Bird Keeper #66 | $2.53 | 1 in 105 |
| 6 | Piers #69 | $1.99 | 1 in 105 |
| 7 | Cara Liss #67 | $1.30 | 1 in 105 |
| 8 | Gym Trainer #68 | $1.19 | 1 in 105 |
| 9 | Rose #71 | $1.16 | 1 in 105 |
How the 8.56% rate is computed
Every Shining Fates booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 8 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Full Art, and the era's other chase rarities. The Full Art tier captures 8.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 8.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Full Art tier, all 9 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 8.56% ÷ 9 = 0.0095 = 1 in 105.
This is the same math PackRip's live Shining Fates simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 8.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Full Art
Full Art pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.085600. The expected number of packs until your first Full Art hit is 12; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 34 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Full Art with probability 96.0% — so the average box yields just over 3.1 Full Art pulls.
Related on PackRip
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- Shining Fates per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Shining Fates cards