Twilight Masquerade Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)

5.56% of Twilight Masquerade booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Twilight Masquerade ships 21 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0026 (≈1 in 378). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Twilight Masquerade Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 21 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 378. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Illustration Rare cards in Twilight Masquerade
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eevee #188 | $91.49 | 1 in 378 |
| 2 | Chansey #187 | $57.91 | 1 in 378 |
| 3 | Hisuian Growlithe #181 | $34.13 | 1 in 378 |
| 4 | Tatsugiri #186 | $23.45 | 1 in 378 |
| 5 | Pinsir #168 | $15.92 | 1 in 378 |
| 6 | Infernape #173 | $14.96 | 1 in 378 |
| 7 | Dipplin #170 | $12.08 | 1 in 378 |
| 8 | Phione #175 | $11.89 | 1 in 378 |
| 9 | Applin #185 | $11.86 | 1 in 378 |
| 10 | Froslass #174 | $8.50 | 1 in 378 |
| 11 | Sunflora #169 | $7.81 | 1 in 378 |
| 12 | Enamorus #180 | $6.25 | 1 in 378 |
| 13 | Torkoal #172 | $6.00 | 1 in 378 |
| 14 | Timburr #183 | $5.97 | 1 in 378 |
| 15 | Chimecho #179 | $5.75 | 1 in 378 |
| 16 | Lairon #184 | $5.67 | 1 in 378 |
| 17 | Poltchageist #171 | $5.60 | 1 in 378 |
| 18 | Cramorant #176 | $5.23 | 1 in 378 |
| 19 | Probopass #182 | $5.04 | 1 in 378 |
| 20 | Heliolisk #177 | $4.96 | 1 in 378 |
| 21 | Wattrel #178 | $4.50 | 1 in 378 |
How the 5.56% rate is computed
Every Twilight Masquerade booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 21 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 21 = 0.0026 = 1 in 378.
This is the same math PackRip's live Twilight Masquerade simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare
Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Twilight Masquerade packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Twilight Masquerade binder completion calculator
- Twilight Masquerade per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Twilight Masquerade cards
- Every Illustration Rare card across all 140 booster sets