What is the Hyper Rare pull rate in Twilight Masquerade?

2.80% per booster pack — roughly 1 in 36 Twilight Masquerade packs contains a Hyper Rare card. Twilight Masquerade ships 5 Hyper Rare cards in its pool, so per-card odds are ≈1 in 179. The rate is PackRip's own published constant for that tier, identical in the simulator and in this dataset. It is not derived from real print-run data, which has never been published.

How many Twilight Masquerade packs to pull a Hyper Rare?

On average 36 packs to hit your first Hyper Rare — that's the expected value of a geometric distribution with parameter p=0.028000. At 95% confidence you'll have one within 106 packs. A sealed 36-pack booster box yields a Hyper Rare with probability 64.0%.

Which Hyper Rare cards are in Twilight Masquerade?

5 Hyper Rare cards: Buddy-Buddy Poffin, Teal Mask Ogerpon ex, Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex, Enhanced Hammer, Rescue Board. The full list with TCGplayer market prices is in the table on this page. The most valuable by market price is Buddy-Buddy Poffin at $13.96.

Twilight Masquerade Hyper Rare Pull Rate — 2.80% per pack (1 in 36)

Buddy-Buddy Poffin — Twilight Masquerade

2.80% of Twilight Masquerade booster packs contain a Hyper Rare card — roughly 1 in 36 packs. Twilight Masquerade ships 5 Hyper Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Hyper Rare is 0.0056 (≈1 in 179). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

Twilight Masquerade Hyper Rare pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
Formula	Tier odds = 2.80% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 5 Hyper Rare cards = 1 in 179.
Assumptions	One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data source	Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from `rareSlotRates()`, mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadence	Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
Limitations	This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Hyper Rare cards in Twilight Masquerade

#	Card	TCGplayer market	Per-card odds
1	Buddy-Buddy Poffin #223	$13.96	1 in 179
2	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex #221	$10.72	1 in 179
3	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex #222	$9.31	1 in 179
4	Enhanced Hammer #224	$6.72	1 in 179
5	Rescue Board #225	$2.49	1 in 179

How the 2.80% rate is computed

Every Twilight Masquerade booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Hyper Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Hyper Rare tier captures 2.80% of those rare-slot draws (= 2.80 packs out of every 100). Within the Hyper Rare tier, all 5 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 2.80% ÷ 5 = 0.0056 = 1 in 179.

This is the same math PackRip's live Twilight Masquerade simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 2.80% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Hyper Rare

Hyper Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.028000. The expected number of packs until your first Hyper Rare hit is 36; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 106 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Hyper Rare with probability 64.0% — so the average box yields just over 1.0 Hyper Rare pulls.