What is the Illustration Rare pull rate in Scarlet & Violet?

5.56% per booster pack — roughly 1 in 18 Scarlet & Violet packs contains a Illustration Rare card. Scarlet & Violet ships 24 Illustration Rare cards in its pool, so per-card odds are ≈1 in 432. The rate is PackRip's own published constant for that tier, identical in the simulator and in this dataset. It is not derived from real print-run data, which has never been published.

How many Scarlet & Violet packs to pull a Illustration Rare?

On average 18 packs to hit your first Illustration Rare — that's the expected value of a geometric distribution with parameter p=0.055600. At 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. A sealed 36-pack booster box yields a Illustration Rare with probability 87.2%.

Which Illustration Rare cards are in Scarlet & Violet?

24 Illustration Rare cards: Drowzee, Ralts, Slowpoke, Kirlia, Riolu, plus 19 more. The full list with TCGplayer market prices is in the table on this page. The most valuable by market price is Drowzee at $49.30.

Scarlet & Violet Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)

Drowzee — Scarlet & Violet

5.56% of Scarlet & Violet booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Scarlet & Violet ships 24 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0023 (≈1 in 432). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

Scarlet & Violet Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
Formula	Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 24 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 432.
Assumptions	One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data source	Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from `rareSlotRates()`, mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadence	Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
Limitations	This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Illustration Rare cards in Scarlet & Violet

#	Card	TCGplayer market	Per-card odds
1	Drowzee #210	$49.30	1 in 432
2	Ralts #211	$44.35	1 in 432
3	Slowpoke #204	$39.93	1 in 432
4	Kirlia #212	$38.00	1 in 432
5	Riolu #215	$33.46	1 in 432
6	Fidough #213	$25.00	1 in 432
7	Wiglett #206	$21.49	1 in 432
8	Greavard #214	$19.40	1 in 432
9	Pachirisu #208	$19.22	1 in 432
10	Starly #221	$15.47	1 in 432
11	Dondozo #207	$15.23	1 in 432
12	Armarouge #203	$14.01	1 in 432
13	Tarountula #199	$12.61	1 in 432
14	Pawmot #209	$10.43	1 in 432
15	Kingambit #220	$9.28	1 in 432
16	Mabosstiff #218	$9.03	1 in 432
17	Skwovet #222	$8.75	1 in 432
18	Clauncher #205	$8.09	1 in 432
19	Dolliv #200	$7.45	1 in 432
20	Sandile #216	$6.14	1 in 432
21	Scovillain #202	$5.88	1 in 432
22	Bombirdier #219	$5.66	1 in 432
23	Klawf #217	$4.89	1 in 432
24	Toedscool #201	$4.73	1 in 432

How the 5.56% rate is computed

Every Scarlet & Violet booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 24 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 24 = 0.0023 = 1 in 432.

This is the same math PackRip's live Scarlet & Violet simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare

Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.