What is the Illustration Rare pull rate in 30th Celebration?

5.56% per booster pack — roughly 1 in 18 30th Celebration packs contains a Illustration Rare card. 30th Celebration ships 18 Illustration Rare cards in its pool, so per-card odds are ≈1 in 324. The rate is PackRip's own published constant for that tier, identical in the simulator and in this dataset. It is not derived from real print-run data, which has never been published.

How many 30th Celebration packs to pull a Illustration Rare?

On average 18 packs to hit your first Illustration Rare — that's the expected value of a geometric distribution with parameter p=0.055600. At 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. A sealed 36-pack booster box yields a Illustration Rare with probability 87.2%.

Which Illustration Rare cards are in 30th Celebration?

18 Illustration Rare cards: Alolan Exeggutor, Moltres, Lapras, Articuno, Zapdos, plus 13 more. The full list with TCGplayer market prices is in the table on this page. The most valuable by market price is Alolan Exeggutor.

30th Celebration Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)

Alolan Exeggutor — 30th Celebration

5.56% of 30th Celebration booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. 30th Celebration ships 18 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0031 (≈1 in 324). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

30th Celebration Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
Formula	Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 18 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 324.
Assumptions	One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data source	Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from `rareSlotRates()`, mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadence	Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
Limitations	This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Illustration Rare cards in 30th Celebration

#	Card	TCGplayer market	Per-card odds
1	Alolan Exeggutor #129	—	1 in 324
2	Moltres #130	—	1 in 324
3	Lapras #131	—	1 in 324
4	Articuno #132	—	1 in 324
5	Zapdos #133	—	1 in 324
6	Toxtricity #134	—	1 in 324
7	Morpeko #135	—	1 in 324
8	Drifloon #136	—	1 in 324
9	Chandelure #137	—	1 in 324
10	Lycanroc #138	—	1 in 324
11	Alolan Meowth #139	—	1 in 324
12	Scraggy #140	—	1 in 324
13	Galarian Meowth #141	—	1 in 324
14	Gholdengo #142	—	1 in 324
15	Kommo-o #143	—	1 in 324
16	Meowth #144	—	1 in 324
17	Hisuian Zorua #145	—	1 in 324
18	Maushold #146	—	1 in 324

How the 5.56% rate is computed

Every 30th Celebration booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 5 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 18 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 18 = 0.0031 = 1 in 324.

This is the same math PackRip's live 30th Celebration simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare

Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.