Chilling Reign Rare Holo Pull Rate — 28.00% per pack (1 in 4)
28.00% of Chilling Reign booster packs contain a Rare Holo card — roughly 1 in 4 packs. Chilling Reign ships 24 Rare Holo cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Rare Holo is 0.0117 (≈1 in 86). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Chilling Reign Rare Holo pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 28.00% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 24 Rare Holo cards = 1 in 86. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Rare Holo cards in Chilling Reign
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gengar #57 | $3.65 | 1 in 86 |
| 2 | Gardevoir #61 | $0.87 | 1 in 86 |
| 3 | Porygon-Z #118 | $0.67 | 1 in 86 |
| 4 | Tapu Fini #40 | $0.51 | 1 in 86 |
| 5 | Single Strike Urshifu #108 | $0.43 | 1 in 86 |
| 6 | Galarian Runerigus #83 | $0.38 | 1 in 86 |
| 7 | Beedrill #3 | $0.36 | 1 in 86 |
| 8 | Rapid Strike Urshifu #44 | $0.36 | 1 in 86 |
| 9 | Cresselia #64 | $0.36 | 1 in 86 |
| 10 | Galarian Slowking #98 | $0.35 | 1 in 86 |
| 11 | Froslass #36 | $0.34 | 1 in 86 |
| 12 | Hatterene #73 | $0.33 | 1 in 86 |
| 13 | Rillaboom #18 | $0.30 | 1 in 86 |
| 14 | Inteleon #43 | $0.30 | 1 in 86 |
| 15 | Lycanroc #87 | $0.30 | 1 in 86 |
| 16 | Tauros #115 | $0.30 | 1 in 86 |
| 17 | Zarude #19 | $0.29 | 1 in 86 |
| 18 | Cinderace #28 | $0.28 | 1 in 86 |
| 19 | Weavile #31 | $0.28 | 1 in 86 |
| 20 | Shaymin #123 | $0.28 | 1 in 86 |
| 21 | Greedent #128 | $0.27 | 1 in 86 |
| 22 | Grapploct #92 | $0.26 | 1 in 86 |
| 23 | Thundurus #52 | $0.25 | 1 in 86 |
| 24 | Cobalion #114 | $0.24 | 1 in 86 |
How the 28.00% rate is computed
Every Chilling Reign booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Rare Holo, and the era's other chase rarities. The Rare Holo tier captures 28.00% of those rare-slot draws (= 28.00 packs out of every 100). Within the Rare Holo tier, all 24 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 28.00% ÷ 24 = 0.0117 = 1 in 86.
This is the same math PackRip's live Chilling Reign simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 28.00% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Rare Holo
Rare Holo pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.280000. The expected number of packs until your first Rare Holo hit is 4; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 10 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Rare Holo with probability 100.0% — so the average box yields just over 10.1 Rare Holo pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Chilling Reign packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Chilling Reign binder completion calculator
- Chilling Reign per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Chilling Reign cards