Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon ex Pull Rate — 16.70% per pack (1 in 6)

16.70% of Prismatic Evolutions booster packs contain a Pokemon ex card — roughly 1 in 6 packs. Prismatic Evolutions ships 25 Pokemon ex cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Pokemon ex is 0.0067 (≈1 in 150). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon ex pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 16.70% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 25 Pokemon ex cards = 1 in 150. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Pokemon ex cards in Prismatic Evolutions
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umbreon ex #60 | $7.73 | 1 in 150 |
| 2 | Eevee ex #75 | $6.82 | 1 in 150 |
| 3 | Leafeon ex #6 | $4.50 | 1 in 150 |
| 4 | Espeon ex #34 | $4.45 | 1 in 150 |
| 5 | Jolteon ex #30 | $4.26 | 1 in 150 |
| 6 | Flareon ex #14 | $4.24 | 1 in 150 |
| 7 | Vaporeon ex #23 | $3.11 | 1 in 150 |
| 8 | Sylveon ex #41 | $2.77 | 1 in 150 |
| 9 | Teal Mask Ogerpon ex #12 | $2.60 | 1 in 150 |
| 10 | Pikachu ex #28 | $2.43 | 1 in 150 |
| 11 | Glaceon ex #26 | $2.19 | 1 in 150 |
| 12 | Snorlax ex #76 | $1.52 | 1 in 150 |
| 13 | Dragapult ex #73 | $1.35 | 1 in 150 |
| 14 | Lugia ex #82 | $1.33 | 1 in 150 |
| 15 | Iron Thorns ex #32 | $0.89 | 1 in 150 |
| 16 | Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex #27 | $0.86 | 1 in 150 |
| 17 | Lucario ex #51 | $0.83 | 1 in 150 |
| 18 | Hydrapple ex #11 | $0.77 | 1 in 150 |
| 19 | Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex #58 | $0.75 | 1 in 150 |
| 20 | Tyranitar ex #64 | $0.73 | 1 in 150 |
| 21 | Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex #17 | $0.70 | 1 in 150 |
| 22 | Noivern ex #91 | $0.69 | 1 in 150 |
| 23 | Terapagos ex #92 | $0.69 | 1 in 150 |
| 24 | Iron Hands ex #31 | $0.66 | 1 in 150 |
| 25 | Sandy Shocks ex #56 | $0.60 | 1 in 150 |
How the 16.70% rate is computed
Every Prismatic Evolutions booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Pokemon ex, and the era's other chase rarities. The Pokemon ex tier captures 16.70% of those rare-slot draws (= 16.70 packs out of every 100). Within the Pokemon ex tier, all 25 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 16.70% ÷ 25 = 0.0067 = 1 in 150.
This is the same math PackRip's live Prismatic Evolutions simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 16.70% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Pokemon ex
Pokemon ex pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.167000. The expected number of packs until your first Pokemon ex hit is 6; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 17 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Pokemon ex with probability 99.9% — so the average box yields just over 6.0 Pokemon ex pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Prismatic Evolutions packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Prismatic Evolutions binder completion calculator
- Prismatic Evolutions per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Prismatic Evolutions cards
- Every Pokemon ex card across all 140 booster sets