Arceus Lv.X Pull Rate — 8.56% per pack (1 in 12)
8.56% of Arceus booster packs contain a Lv.X card — roughly 1 in 12 packs. Arceus ships 6 Lv.X cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Lv.X is 0.0143 (≈1 in 70). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Arceus Lv.X pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 8.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 6 Lv.X cards = 1 in 70. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Lv.X cards in Arceus
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gengar LV.X #97 | $628.50 | 1 in 70 |
| 2 | Arceus LV.X #95 | $184.99 | 1 in 70 |
| 3 | Salamence LV.X #98 | $114.38 | 1 in 70 |
| 4 | Arceus LV.X #94 | $71.56 | 1 in 70 |
| 5 | Tangrowth LV.X #99 | $50.44 | 1 in 70 |
| 6 | Arceus LV.X #96 | $38.99 | 1 in 70 |
How the 8.56% rate is computed
Every Arceus booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 3 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Lv.X, and the era's other chase rarities. The Lv.X tier captures 8.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 8.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Lv.X tier, all 6 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 8.56% ÷ 6 = 0.0143 = 1 in 70.
This is the same math PackRip's live Arceus simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 8.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Lv.X
Lv.X pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.085600. The expected number of packs until your first Lv.X hit is 12; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 34 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Lv.X with probability 96.0% — so the average box yields just over 3.1 Lv.X pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Arceus packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Arceus binder completion calculator
- Arceus per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Arceus cards
- Every Lv.X card across all 140 booster sets